Ugly-Oleo
0xc6e1a61da4ff3d0b29a802c50b107fab29dbfa2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7055 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-74.08
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.00
$-33.00
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 32.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.10
$-46.90
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2000 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-191.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
426 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
400 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-204.00
- YES
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
400 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?
198 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJun 4, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.2KApr 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.1KApr 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.1KApr 24, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.0KApr 5, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$200.00Jan 12, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$100.00Dec 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$156.00Dec 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$95.00Nov 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$800.98Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $190.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.