Ironclad-Will
0xc6fa9a0058f324cf4d33e7ddd4f0b957e5d551e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$593.04
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$388.20
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
230 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$229.88
$13.20
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
127 shares @ 54.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.98
$31.56
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
202 shares @ 37.1¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.37
$-7.57
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
50 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.48
$0.64
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
109 shares @ 44.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$39.60
$-8.14
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
81 shares @ 39.1¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.38
$7.59
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
74 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$35.38
$-1.12
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
77 shares @ 80.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.22
$-31.38
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
160 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.72
$-3.28
- PANNA UDVARDY
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic
60 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.03
$-13.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.16Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2.61Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.22Jun 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.41Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.41Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$78.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.85Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2.88Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.