Ironclad-Will
0xc6fa9a0058f324cf4d33e7ddd4f0b957e5d551e5
Quality score
80/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$21.84
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
120 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$119.94
$0.18
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.95
$0.15
- NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
90 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$89.78
$0.54
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
81 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$80.88
$1.06
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
80 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.96
$0.12
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
71 shares @ 98.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$64.09
$-5.76
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
87 shares @ 53.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$60.17
$13.86
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
60 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$59.97
$0.04
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
60 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$59.97
$0.09
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
62 shares @ 81.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$59.44
$9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.342h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$5.4610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$5.4610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.2915h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.2915h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.4616h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.7416h ago
- YIELD$0.0217h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.991d ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$2.941d ago
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?$5.441d ago
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?$5.441d ago
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 24?$5.271d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?$4.411d ago
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 24?$10.291d ago
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 24?$8.691d ago
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 24?$8.571d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.