Thorny-Fan
0xc70837f36f58e8f1a43907f547af7e8a8a0f9ab3
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$535.99
Total PnL
$1.82
Realised
$-0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$200.00
$46.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
195 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.68
$0.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?
111 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$111.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.51
$1.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- CRISTIAN GARIN
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$190.23May 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$110.09May 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski$1.01May 5, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?$1.01May 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.07May 5, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.01May 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?$5.01May 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?$1.01May 5, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$48.00May 5, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$154.00May 5, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on April 12?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 74°F or higher on April 12?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.00May 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$199.66May 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$200.16May 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 5?$1.01May 5, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.03May 5, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $94.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.