Upbeat-Trial
0xc73c1252ae14c790671d3e9bc63d316ff2f86000
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.31
Total PnL
$-37.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.31
$0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7AM ET
4300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8PM ET
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1AM ET
1050 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.19Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.11Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.25Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.15Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.11Jun 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.39Jun 10, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jun 10, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03Jun 10, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on April 12?$1.41Jun 10, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.10Jun 10, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.35Jun 10, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.73Jun 10, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03May 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10May 14, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.16May 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on April 12?$1.41Apr 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.30Apr 11, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.07Apr 11, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $475.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.