Spicy-Doorpost
0xc78622a49b7f38b356453b35c649c20b859bd82e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$390.58
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
7000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-268.69
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?
4533 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-694.05
- NO
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
4000 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-312.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?
3160 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-189.59
- NO
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 2?
2700 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?
2000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $84000 on April 4?
1000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-17.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
910 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.84
- NO
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$524.99Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.36Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.26Jun 1, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.32Jun 1, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$177.18Jun 1, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$182.00Jun 1, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.87Jun 1, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$89.78Jun 1, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.89Jun 1, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.23Jun 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$33.44Jun 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$10.70Apr 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$20.94Apr 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$38.46Apr 20, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$24.40Apr 20, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$90.00Apr 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$140.15Apr 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$55.85Apr 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$54.40Apr 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$157.41Apr 19, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $48.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".