Flickering-Hops
0xc79885993d7a2eca702cd707a85018760667f727
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.25
Total PnL
$-19.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% in April?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?
11 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?
7 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.39Jun 2, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.44Jun 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.37May 10, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.38May 10, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.15May 4, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$9.09May 4, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$9.26May 3, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1.41Apr 30, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti$0.00Apr 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti$8.00Apr 27, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.13Apr 27, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli$7.85Apr 26, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli$5.00Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$0.13Apr 24, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00Apr 23, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?$0.00Apr 23, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?$0.00Apr 22, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.13Apr 20, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of April 13 2026?$0.00Apr 19, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.