Thick-Framework
0xc7b620031bcfd60ff69ad5e64331790f8711cfe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.3K
Realised
$-200.10
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- WEST INDIES
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africa
5594 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-37.65
- YES
Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
3223 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-163.46
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
2256 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-451.13
- HURRICANES
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
1901 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DEVILS
Canucks vs. Devils
1732 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-952.40
- YES
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision?
1255 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-179.00
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Flyers
1186 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-533.54
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?
1093 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-226.93
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-28?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- FELIX AUGER-ALIASSIME
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
973 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-575.69
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.52Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.67Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$461.96Jun 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$460.93Jun 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$1.2KJun 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76.67Jun 26, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$176.58Jun 26, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$428.67Jun 26, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$566.42Jun 26, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.70Jun 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.70Jun 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$622.82Jun 23, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95.67Jun 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$359.11Jun 22, 23:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $300.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.