Flamboyant-Warming
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$54.4K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$12.7K
Win rate
71%
151 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
3051 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$62.18
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2358 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
2170 shares @ 85.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$234.95
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2358 shares @ 41.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$872.31
- NO
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
2105 shares @ 83.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$93.71
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2065 shares @ 71.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$229.49
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1466 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.5K
$99.77
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
1474 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$53.77
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
1380 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.4K
$84.20
- NO
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1398 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$9.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$6.98Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$463.60Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$22.40Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23.35Jun 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.60Jun 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner$10.00Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$2.52Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.65Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$148.20Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$302.48Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27.20Jun 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$30.60Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$98.66Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.83Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner$5.00Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$11.11Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner$17.39Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner$11.75Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner$5.76Jun 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$32.40Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 151 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.