Flamboyant-Warming
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.1K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$12.6K
Win rate
71%
151 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
3051 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$63.70
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2358 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
2170 shares @ 85.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$234.95
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2358 shares @ 41.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$895.89
- NO
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
2105 shares @ 83.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$93.71
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2065 shares @ 71.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$260.47
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1466 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.5K
$99.77
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
2681 shares @ 39.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.5K
$392.40
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
1474 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$53.77
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
1380 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.4K
$84.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$322.69Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner$18.40Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$2.84Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$1.17Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$1.67Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$13.00Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$88.80Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$0.68Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$0.50Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?$0.22Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?$87.97Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$12.00Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$8.40Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$105.07Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$20.00Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$23.50Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$90.00Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$19.68Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$58.50Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel$21.70Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 151 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.