Unhappy-Caption
0xc7eccbd71f134cb42b1cdaa500d79de770737c52
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$25.39
Total PnL
$-6.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.96
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.86
$0.04
- NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.69
$0.01
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.64
$0.01
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.58
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.52
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$1.58Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.52Jul 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?$1.68Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.08Jun 29, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.34Jun 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.25Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.96Jun 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.82May 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.62Apr 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.34Apr 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.71Apr 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain join the Board of Peace?$1.02Mar 30, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.74Mar 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.63Mar 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Dec 30, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.66Dec 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.39Dec 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.05Dec 9, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.99Dec 9, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.26Dec 9, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.