Dutiful-Depot-Contention
0xc7f08254ee0c6d1777b4efa0a553c8b9dd63aa51
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$168.84
Total PnL
$-33.87
Realised
$-1.16
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
10 shares @ 43.5¢·now 75.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.56
$3.22
- NO
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.00
$1.35
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$4.96
$0.01
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.95
$-0.00
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$4.93
$1.08
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.72
$0.08
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.63
$0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$4.60
$0.30
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.60
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF M25 East Lansing Men: James McCabe vs Noah Zamora$3.31Aug 12, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins$5.00Aug 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zamora CF vs. Cultural Leonesa end in a draw?$1.91Aug 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Falcons$3.45Aug 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$4.98Aug 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?$3.89Aug 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?$2.21Aug 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Murcia CF win on 2026-08-12?$3.41Aug 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$3.36Aug 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)$2.61Aug 12, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?$5.00Aug 12, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMFC København vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 5.5$5.00Aug 12, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-08-12?$5.25Aug 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$4.25Aug 12, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg: Max Schoenhaus vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida$5.00Aug 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$2.05Aug 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London$2.51Aug 12, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$5.00Aug 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics$1.71Aug 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC København vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 5.5$2.06Aug 12, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.