Altruistic-Credit
0xc80e33f2b9c202fec9f8fd4bef9c177d5f377b74
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.73
Total PnL
$2.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.91
$0.91
- NO
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.98
$0.98
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.00Mar 22, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$2.00Mar 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Mar 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$2.00Mar 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by March 27?$1.00Mar 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$1.00Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Mar 21, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.00Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMMacron impeached in 2024?$1.04Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$1.04Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$1.05Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Trump?$1.05Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 released in 2024?$1.59Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 not announced in 2024?$1.61Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?$2.19Feb 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 22?$2.82Dec 5, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$3.13Dec 5, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.