Verifiable-Export
0xc83846681155981b90c553d298a063f424e13333
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$9.67
Total PnL
$-23.1K
Realised
$-4.0K
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
481 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.72
$-239.78
- YES
Will Koa Peat be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
479 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.72
$-238.78
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
498 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.87
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
497 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.12
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
497 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.12
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
494 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-246.75
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
493 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-246.25
- YES
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
487 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.24
$-243.26
- YES
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.24
$-242.80
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.24
$-242.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.45Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$476.51Jun 11, 10:18 UTC
- SPLITWill Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$477.00Jun 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$476.51Jun 11, 10:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$477.00Jun 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$477.50Jun 10, 09:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$478.00Jun 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jackson Stallings be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$477.50Jun 10, 09:07 UTC
- SPLITWill Jackson Stallings be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$478.00Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nate Ament be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$478.51Jun 9, 09:10 UTC
- SPLITWill Nate Ament be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$479.00Jun 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Koa Peat be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$478.51Jun 9, 09:07 UTC
- SPLITWill Koa Peat be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$479.00Jun 9, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?$465.52Jun 8, 09:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?$466.00Jun 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?$479.51Jun 8, 09:48 UTC
- SPLITWill Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?$480.00Jun 8, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$480.50Jun 7, 11:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$481.00Jun 7, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$480.50Jun 7, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $427.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.