Heavy-Credibility
0xc85acda2366fabad7cb7e2b1cf2947100b8ec25e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 12?
279 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3?
278 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 7?
278 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 6?
274 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 10?
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 4?
266 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 2?
262 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
245 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$74.89Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$73.24Jun 1, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$74.17May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$72.46May 24, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$2.03May 18, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 17?$79.70May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 17?$76.91May 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 11?$1.73May 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 9?$2.83May 9, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$76.08May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$73.87May 7, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 25?$77.65Apr 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 25?$76.33Apr 26, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?$89.40Apr 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?$87.34Apr 15, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$2.27Apr 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 11?$2.76Apr 10, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 11?$0.00Apr 10, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.40 on January 9?$0.00Mar 31, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $MARU reach $800M in Q1?$1.29Mar 31, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.