Realistic-Diner
0xc8647f8c6ee25ea8cae03c903e00eb7f398fd5f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-97.12
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 17?
8553 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 6?
6300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-29.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?
5313 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 17?
2235 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2110 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 6?
2100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
2100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?
2096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.88Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.98Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.05Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.00May 27, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.10May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.00May 20, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.42May 20, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.35May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.30May 7, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$4.52Apr 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 27?$4.12Apr 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$4.16Apr 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 21?$4.16Apr 21, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$3.71Apr 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$0.04Apr 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$4.15Apr 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.40Apr 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.10Apr 8, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 22?$2.1KMar 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 22?$2.1KMar 22, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $498.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".