Careless-Summer
0xc89ae9d635d06e67792ecc9224f9669a7541368c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$155.38
Total PnL
$-66.82
Realised
$40.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
505 shares @ 22.2¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.19
$-6.81
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.69
$-20.31
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.50
$-0.50
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
2105 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$115.49Jun 5, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$130.37May 24, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$51.68May 23, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$120.00May 23, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.67May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.36May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$159.47May 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$40.90Apr 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$16.44Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$20.00Feb 8, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?$10.00Feb 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?$63.49Jan 31, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$40.00Jan 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$60.00Jan 22, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$58.33Jan 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$40.00Jan 20, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $55.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.