Probable-Act
0xc89d5c0f4d12aa83475b2b7804995578c46d9dc0
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$267.39
Total PnL
$-2.13
Realised
$-41.80
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET
173 shares @ 67.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$172.76
$56.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET
43 shares @ 54.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$26.59
$3.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
43 shares @ 60.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$26.06
$-0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
58 shares @ 26.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$23.07
$7.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET
50 shares @ 38.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$18.83
$-0.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET
166 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.08
$-27.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.139s ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.539s ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.7925s ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.4825s ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$6.4228s ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.5335s ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.3553s ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.261m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.272m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.772m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.272m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.992m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.342m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.762m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET$1.722m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$6.792m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$9.122m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.412m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.902m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.203m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9m ago
- Last active
- 9s ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
