Present-Crayon
0xc8a0aadfd309b86a57ed2b89f06cca47c50dc703
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Nov 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Nov 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Aug 27, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Aug 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Aug 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Aug 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?$1.00Aug 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.00Aug 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Aug 27, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.