0xc8a321035916ec6a4f48e00ba74b3684edcd8328
0xc8a321035916ec6a4f48e00ba74b3684edcd8328
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$36.13
Total PnL
$-191.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$25.97
$5.97
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$-5.57
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
58 shares @ 10.4¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$-2.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.18
$-2.82
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?
355 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
211 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$20.00Apr 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$6.00Mar 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$16.05Feb 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$15.00Jan 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$15.00Jan 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$8.00Dec 30, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$5.00Dec 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$4.00Dec 30, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$5.00Dec 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 10, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$100.00Dec 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$189.38Dec 3, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$100.00Dec 3, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$100.00Dec 3, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $32.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.