Kaleidoscopic-Flesh
0xc8a7dbcc8030ed5dd3a2cf520791e040be620744
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$132.12
Total PnL
$-200.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$125.00
$75.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
838 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.12
$-42.88
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
833 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?
752 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.82
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
540 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 17, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$100.00Jan 12, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Jan 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$50.00Jan 12, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$40.00Dec 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$42.82Dec 14, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $55.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".