Mysterious-Jury
0xc8b2b62e9ac155c153c0fdeaf35672be58fb7c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$457.78
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-106.21
Win rate
40%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
35 shares @ 78.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$34.84
$7.30
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
31 shares @ 69.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.82
$8.08
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?
29 shares @ 1.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$28.68
$28.39
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
33 shares @ 44.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$28.60
$14.05
- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
28 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$28.25
$10.72
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
25 shares @ 44.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.63
$13.63
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
25 shares @ 70.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$21.38
$3.69
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.70
$13.50
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.10
$4.10
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 69.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$18.88
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$4.34Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$6.45Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$4.83Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$2.80Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$16.00Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?$12.39Jun 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?$12.55Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$12.98Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$8.12Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$12.06Jun 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.20Jun 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.20Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.60Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.01Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.91Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.49Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.76Jun 13, 01:58 UTC
- REWARD$10.23Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$27.25Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.