0xc8b4a7c47acf784bc1143c8bb8bdcf7bafe919fe
0xc8b4a7c47acf784bc1143c8bb8bdcf7bafe919fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$101.23
Total PnL
$-11.52
Realised
$2.23
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- RHODES
Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton
24 shares @ 36.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$24.24
$15.41
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25 shares @ 70.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.05
$3.43
- YES
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
17 shares @ 53.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$16.96
$7.96
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.43
$0.43
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$4.55
$0.05
- YES
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$2.62
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.27
$0.77
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.20
$0.35
- NO
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.88
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$1.50May 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.50May 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$1.50May 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$1.50May 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.54May 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.81May 22, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.30May 22, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.25May 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.50Apr 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake by June 30?$1.12Apr 22, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$0.75Apr 21, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.