Definitive-Bear
0xc8c149d5d8afc19f8d4e5e6e96988265bd04f916
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
6633 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5436 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
3273 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
3256 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
3250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
3152 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
3045 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2598 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
2315 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2277 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.76Jan 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.76Jan 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.33Dec 24, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.32Dec 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.70Dec 23, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.85Dec 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.70Dec 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.09Dec 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.20Dec 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.09Dec 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30Dec 1, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.44Nov 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.43Nov 25, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.50Nov 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Nov 21, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.50Nov 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.30Nov 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.30Nov 19, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.0KOct 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.0KOct 22, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $430.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".