Variable-Nonbeliever
0xc8c955bf45d5ac00f7057be52ace2f760611047b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-188.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 12?
135 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
133 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 20?
86 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-83.17
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20100 (LOW) in March?
84 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
79 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?
78 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.35 on March 12?
70 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?
56 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 1?
50 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$71.30Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$0.12May 31, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$69.97May 31, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?$2.01May 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$3.33May 26, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$80.87May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$78.44May 18, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 18?$85.78May 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 26?$1.24Apr 26, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 22?$0.00Apr 26, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 18?$84.06Apr 18, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$81.14Apr 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$0.09Apr 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$77.97Apr 14, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 14?$2.73Apr 13, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET$84.24Apr 11, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET$19.26Apr 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET$60.09Apr 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 1?$2.60Mar 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20100 (LOW) in March?$1.17Mar 31, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.