Brave-Menu
0xc8caa4b9d7b8d61c1eead1f6d7130c74f8e2960b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-11.98
Realised
$97.95
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$487.25
$12.25
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$475.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
250 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$242.00
$12.00
- NO
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?
125 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$114.98
$3.75
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$88.50
$8.36
- NO
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.50
$36.50
- NO
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$55.64
$-3.21
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-34.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
700 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.55
$0.35
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.19
$6.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$12.50Jul 20, 17:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $27.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.