Brave-Menu
0xc8caa4b9d7b8d61c1eead1f6d7130c74f8e2960b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$293.86
Realised
$297.97
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2000 shares @ 77.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$197.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$472.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$462.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$450.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 95.5¢·now 74.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$371.25
$-106.25
- NO
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?
125 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$111.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.50
$-4.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
63 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$62.22
$5.94
- NO
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.06
$3.21
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.49
$-12.51
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$18.52Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$6.25Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$613.26Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5.94Jun 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$8.75Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$10.50Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$2.87Jun 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$6.41Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$8.92Jun 12, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.03Jun 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.03Jun 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.00Jun 12, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3.38Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.