Gracious-Neuron
0xc8d507c762d23ce75ede1c62ce891ce041822397
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$107.25
Total PnL
$-89.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.06
$-0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
1473 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6?
1439 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?
1238 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?
1044 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?
854 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$81.00May 31, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$1.03May 31, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?$13.63May 31, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$69.07May 31, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$69.00May 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.00May 30, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$83.20May 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$83.13May 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?$13.60May 29, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$96.19May 29, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$96.01May 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$12.10May 28, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$108.11May 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$108.01May 27, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$5.45May 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$102.89May 27, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$103.00May 27, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$114.11May 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$114.01May 26, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans$3.66May 26, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $79.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.