Apprehensive-Sorrow
0xc8fd65668df66d8198f25e11a5266e8b6e81085e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$376.17
Total PnL
$11.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.00
$2.30
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
50 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.93
$1.75
- NO
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
46 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$45.99
$0.78
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
42 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.00
$1.76
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.00
$0.97
- NO
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.00
$1.68
- NO
Will Krum Zarkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
42 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$42.00
$0.34
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$25.00
$0.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$8.00
$0.16
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$8.00
$0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?$6.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?$23.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?$23.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?$23.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?$24.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?$24.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 24?$24.32Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 23?$26.60Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 23?$10.13Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 25?$11.91Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 24?$12.76Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?$13.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 24?$13.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?$13.95Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 20-26?$14.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?$16.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 24?$16.33Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 23?$17.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?$17.00Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?$18.02Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.