Concrete-Mushroom
0xc8fe75dbcd60983e43bbde168690d11942b55c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.26
Realised
$0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
90 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
80 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.09
- NO
Will Jadon Sancho sign with a new club during the transfer window?
40 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.60
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.33
- NO
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?$10.01Dec 29, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?$1.89Nov 6, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?$8.11Nov 6, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?$0.00Nov 6, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?$10.00Nov 6, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$2.28Oct 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.26Oct 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.45Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.33Oct 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.16Oct 10, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Oct 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.66Oct 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.01Oct 2, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.04Oct 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.12Oct 2, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.90Oct 2, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.78Oct 2, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.00Sep 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.50Sep 27, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by September 30?$9.29Sep 27, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".