Squeaky-Electrocardiogram
0xc90151ca931761870dddd89bfc84cd80bdfd0c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$504.58
Total PnL
$-370.19
Realised
$149.61
Win rate
51%
142 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 36.9¢·now 33.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.34
$-4.58
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 49.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.28
$-4.94
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 28.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.21
$-25.73
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
18 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.84
$0.09
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
53 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$15.75
$-0.03
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
16 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.12
$1.20
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.17
$-1.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?
36 shares @ 20.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$12.82
$5.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
21 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$10.73
$0.32
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
28 shares @ 52.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$10.68
$-3.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.25Jul 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$10.41Jul 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.45Jul 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$14.88Jul 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$2.54Jul 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$1.96Jul 14, 04:54 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$27.00Jul 14, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$16.17Jul 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$3.36Jul 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$9.80Jul 14, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan Walker hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$5.00Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.80Jul 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$1.80Jul 14, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$1.30Jul 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.61Jul 14, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$13.16Jul 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23.68Jul 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$2.24Jul 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.95Jul 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$2.62Jul 14, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
51% win rate over 142 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
142 closed markets, 51% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 142 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.