Careless-Reversal
0xc9469fbe92ab22600d6e198bb1fd25c2d87d1825
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$581.74
Total PnL
$-39.8K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
695 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$246.72
$-10.42
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
221 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$220.89
$15.36
- NO
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
62 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$59.55
$-0.47
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
743 shares @ 36.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$44.58
$-222.90
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$1.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Celtics
25000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.7K
- NO
Will Australia win?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- THUNDER
Hornets vs. Thunder
15785 shares @ 87.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
10000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
7515 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
Recent activity
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$10.05Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMLilian Marmousez vs. Federico Bondioli: Total Sets O/U 2.5$15.96Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$18.00Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by May 31?$150.00Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$281.00Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$778.00Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$837.00Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$78.88May 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$38.64May 20, 02:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.16May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$30.66May 20, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$1.13May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$11.34May 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$162.61May 19, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$111.33May 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$73.74May 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$614.94May 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$210.10May 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$230.00May 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$23.00May 19, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $53.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".