UnclassifiedExpires May 31, 2026

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Probability

30¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-12.5pp

24h Vol

$23.8K

Liquidity

$48.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 19:00Apr 29, 2026, 11:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 13pp over 24h

    Now 30¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 12.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 35¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 756.1h

    LOW
  • 11:51Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 12.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH

Price movement

-12.5pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

9
Same eventKash Patel out by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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