Flawed-Instrument
0xc95282829c23023c05916afc9090a5ba0c906087
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$970.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$500.00
$130.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$150.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
3661 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-612.16
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
3014 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-555.81
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1540 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-584.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.97Jun 5, 23:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$380.69Jun 1, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.0KApr 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$205.15Mar 12, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$379.48Mar 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$19.49Mar 8, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$0.34Mar 8, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $164.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.