Ecstatic-Hay
0xc9ddc78c3e830b94494a8622ec80e345a273e61f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-184.37
Realised
$-18.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 23?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 16?
5948 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 5?
2097 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
221 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.65
- YES
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$100.65Apr 12, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$100.65Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$230.20Apr 3, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$230.20Apr 3, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$221.80Mar 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$217.11Mar 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$6.46Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$71.74Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$19.39Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$6.46Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$12.28Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$64.47Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$9.69Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 16?$6.00Mar 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$1.00Mar 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 11, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Jazz$1.00Mar 11, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 6, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 6, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $45.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.