Peaceful-Scrim
0xc9e79aacc368c1e83b17b2444189210ef6a747ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.27
Total PnL
$-139.06
Realised
$11.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
153 shares @ 12.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-15.23
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
428 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 7?
360 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
195 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?
190 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
121 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
69 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
63 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.