Careful-Carving
0xc9ed2473f033454af5ce373b9f8db82766106d5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.62
Total PnL
$-0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.79
$5.79
- YES
CME list sports event contracts by December 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.36
$-0.64
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Epstein client list released in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $9.52Dec 11, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.38Nov 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$8.00Nov 26, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dharmendra rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?$10.01Nov 24, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00Nov 23, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $7.00Nov 23, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?$0.00Nov 22, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$4.00Nov 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$3.00Nov 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$8.31Nov 21, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?$0.00Nov 21, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?$7.14Nov 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dharmendra rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?$2.00Nov 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?$5.00Nov 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCME list sports event contracts by December 31?$5.00Nov 20, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?$3.00Nov 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$7.00Nov 19, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$3.00Nov 19, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".