0xca085f1484976a4eb98399a92a59edf96c8d2870
0xca085f1484976a4eb98399a92a59edf96c8d2870
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.24
Total PnL
$26.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$28.57
$26.57
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.00
$4.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$2.39
- NO
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
4 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$4.28
$0.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
7 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$2.00Apr 4, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$2.00Apr 4, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$3.75Apr 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Apr 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.42Apr 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.42Apr 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.00Apr 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.00Apr 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.48Apr 2, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.48Apr 2, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.00Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.00Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.97Apr 2, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.85Apr 2, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?$0.61Apr 2, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?$2.00Mar 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.00Mar 30, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Mar 30, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitBoy convicted?$4.74Mar 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00Mar 29, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.