Parched-Rug
0xca1da423dbdc53f78d58c34137cd9e5b59b70a71
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$715.58
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
556 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$281.89
$-18.11
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
168 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$167.60
$5.70
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$156.25
$56.25
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$71.18
$21.34
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
39 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$38.66
$15.85
- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
3080 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
1417 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.81Dec 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$25.00Dec 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$50.00Dec 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$199.10Dec 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$50.00Dec 10, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$50.00Dec 10, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$20.00Dec 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$100.00Dec 10, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$200.00Dec 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$200.00Dec 10, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$200.00Dec 10, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$50.00Dec 10, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$10.00Dec 10, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$50.00Dec 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$50.00Dec 10, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$50.00Dec 10, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$15.00Dec 8, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$47.56Dec 7, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$70.88Dec 7, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $67.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".