Thick-Pinkie
0xca258f3f0ef0a2a2c593ab6a5888adb26a4c4fd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-235.14
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$196.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
659 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$109.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$105.15
$5.15
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$100.75
$0.75
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$100.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
142 shares @ 70.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$100.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$99.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
157 shares @ 63.8¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$79.12
$-20.88
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$53.26
$3.26
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$47.40
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?$3.51Jun 14, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$128.21Jun 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$101.54Jun 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?$10.27Jun 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$50.78Jun 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$51.54Jun 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.11Jun 14, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$147.26Jun 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$102.25Jun 14, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$134.24Jun 14, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$101.79Jun 14, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$247.43Jun 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$25.51Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$25.48Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$103.06Jun 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$103.57Jun 14, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$125.00Jun 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$101.40Jun 14, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$131.40Jun 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$101.67Jun 14, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $65.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.