0xca4c228f01e1c2f754f13cc928831d9994fb186f
0xca4c228f01e1c2f754f13cc928831d9994fb186f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$35.66
Total PnL
$-3.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$1.00May 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?$1.00May 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 29, 2026?$1.09May 30, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?$1.00May 30, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?$1.00May 30, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?$1.00May 30, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?$1.00May 30, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.90May 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 29, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00May 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 29, 2026?$1.00May 28, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump on $250 bill this year?$1.00May 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?$1.00May 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$0.98May 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$1.00May 27, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.12May 27, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".