Shocked-Ottoman
0xca50f953e460c7014037075185a3e99d2f528290
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.74
Total PnL
$-15.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 23?
2 shares @ 57.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.74
$0.74
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
108 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?
13 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?
9 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 23?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.00Feb 4, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.52Feb 4, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.18Feb 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.02Feb 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.20Feb 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.12Feb 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.14Feb 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.02Feb 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.10Feb 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.09Feb 4, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.10Feb 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.