Assured-Advertising
0xca765a4d03509c1dfed7a061b3fa632190d428b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$10.7K
Total PnL
$-1.3M
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.8K
$-744.99
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
627 shares @ 80.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$626.66
$123.10
- YES
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
200 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.83
$21.46
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
63 shares @ 79.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$62.72
$13.12
- GRIZZLIES
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
39 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$39.02
$23.02
- BUCKS
Mavericks vs. Bucks
5 shares @ 49.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.59
$2.30
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 74.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.93
$-1.09
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
674552 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-569.8K
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
611185 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-201.6K
- NO
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
582026 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-185.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$386.47Apr 8, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$626.74Apr 8, 00:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.43Apr 8, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$17.67Apr 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.11Apr 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.14Apr 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.29Apr 7, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$266.68Apr 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$13.20Apr 7, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$6.63Apr 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.62Apr 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$14.14Apr 7, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$33.91Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$44.34Apr 7, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$12.86Apr 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$405.00Apr 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.14Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$14.36Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.00Apr 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.14Apr 7, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $201.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.