Hilarious-Pathogenesis
0xca872faff3a9e2e36c312123a3c75a66683d152a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.77
Total PnL
$-19.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
713 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
221 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.04May 1, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.04May 1, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.03May 1, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$1.04May 1, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.04May 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?$1.04May 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?$1.04May 1, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CA Peñarol (-2.5)$1.03Apr 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 1?$1.05Apr 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$1.04Apr 29, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?$2.08Apr 29, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$1.02Apr 29, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.