Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$777.56
Liquidity
$854.56
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $855 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 102.8h
- 17:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 2¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @MrBeastSocial media postextracted · mediumyoutube.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.