Definite-Lode
0xca8b16b1b0d7aea86105f0050d87971bfceadbf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$194.01
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-670.67
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.61
$2.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$52.06
$2.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$47.40
$17.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1935 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-134.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1774 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1770 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$50.00Jun 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 2, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00Jun 2, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$74.73Jun 2, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$105.78Jun 2, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 26, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$30.00May 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 24, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$85.16May 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$70.00May 7, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$15.42Apr 25, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.13Apr 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.13Apr 24, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$3.30Apr 23, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$3.29Apr 23, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$2.00Apr 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".