Wonderful-Fresco
0xca903676c5f5561885a38a75109ba10d05a8813a
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$136.12
Total PnL
$-117.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2263 shares @ 5.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.92
$-82.07
- YES
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
67 shares @ 29.9¢·now 29.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
55 shares @ 27.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.82
$-21.18
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.14
$1.14
- NO
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
16 shares @ 31.6¢·now 36.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.82
$0.82
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$1.80
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.47
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.783d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$20.563d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$5.183d ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$5.173d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$4.113d ago
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$5.163d ago
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$5.143d ago
- TRADEBUYElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$3.113d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.143d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.393d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.153d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.0013d ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.0013d ago
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$5.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$30.0060d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$48.4266d ago
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$28.5166d ago
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$42.7666d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 77d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
