Blaring-Lipoprotein
0xcab132140625eccc98e621ec7a5fcea8c3cf37b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.31
Total PnL
$-6.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$2.65
- YES
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.28
$0.82
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.97
$0.97
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.26
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.28
$-0.72
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Canada election called in 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMDemocratic sweep?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 25-27 ET?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes 3 different countries by September 30?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Genocide" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Syria by August 31?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?$0.00Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.