Close-Gopher-Shipyard
0xcab544fc670418ec6db628db1dd647d304dca9b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.15
Realised
$-2.94
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
71 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
37 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
22 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
14 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Jun 19, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.12Jun 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.12Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$8.03Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.06Jun 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.16Jun 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.19Jun 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.20Jun 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$3.93Jun 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.19Jun 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$10.27Jun 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$30.52Jun 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$4.11Jun 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$33.20Jun 17, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$1.03Jun 17, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$15.29Jun 17, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$11.86Jun 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$35.56Jun 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$10.27Jun 17, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.