Splendid-Scratch
0xcad0ad2c138ca509ec5f59b619097bf0ff249ff5
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$58.24
Total PnL
$-679.42
Realised
$53.36
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.51
$-0.08
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.75
$-0.07
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 10.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.60
$0.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
106 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.53
$-0.53
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 5.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.09
$1.18
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.75
$-0.91
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.99
$-1.05
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
817 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-45.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1AM ET
315 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-76.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9PM ET
291 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-89.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.89Jun 11, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.65Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.74Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.73Jun 11, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.65Jun 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.69Jun 11, 04:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.18Jun 10, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16Jun 10, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 10, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 10, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 10, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.