Useful-Tinderbox
0xcae118bfc23c5d38c5f9627cd60e63c301b1f52f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch?
6020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.02
- YES
Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?
484 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-35.64
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
225 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?$205.11Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?$207.12Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$277.04Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.2KFeb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.43Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.92Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.64Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?$13.65Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?$12.87Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?$23.91Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?$31.38Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$37.37Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?$31.82Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?$32.24Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$45.90Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$42.73Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?$56.81Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$37.64Feb 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$61.00Feb 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$53.41Feb 28, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $280.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.