0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89
0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
167
Open notional
$12.60
Total PnL
$-8.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.70
$0.60
- YES
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
92 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$0.41
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.45
$0.35
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.35
$0.25
- YES
Will Ryan Roobroeck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.02Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linus Ullmark win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.10Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?$0.03Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?$0.01Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$0.10Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?$0.01Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.01Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Eichel win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shea Theodore win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linus Ullmark win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Pastrnak win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.04Jun 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next?$0.01Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14?$0.04Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14?$0.01Jun 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14?$0.03Jun 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14?$0.01Jun 13, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Pastrnak win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.04Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.07Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.