Ornery-Responsibility
0xcaf6fe727d3bc49a225117ed8c4ede8ff85cbb1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.63
Realised
$15.51
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 14?
903 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
220 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-103.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Celtics
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WIZARDS
Raptors vs. Wizards
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Spurs vs. Nets
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Hornets vs. Pacers
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$103.22Apr 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$103.22Apr 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$226.81Apr 3, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$226.81Apr 3, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$218.53Mar 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$218.53Mar 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$200.53Mar 26, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLo1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?$166.91Mar 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$1.00Mar 21, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$27.23Mar 21, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$10.00Mar 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$10.00Mar 21, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?$4.00Mar 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLo1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?$33.77Mar 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Pelicans$1.00Mar 16, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Wizards$1.00Mar 16, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 14?$0.02Mar 14, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $43.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".